Latest trade
Apr 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:37 PM UTC.
Analytics
alexbard is down $37.29K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 3:37 PM UTC.
$177.12 median trade
Its latest 130 trades covered 42 markets; 59.2% were buys. They run from Nov 1, 2025 UTC to Apr 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 17.67K | $0.983 | $17.36K | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-16 09:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 15:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
130 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 15:37 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-16 09:36 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $19.57K and losing ones cost $56.33K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.95K on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $41.49K on “US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Apr 2026. It has traded 54 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 17.46K |
| $0.964 |
| $16.83K |
| Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.880 | $528 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 14.45K | $0.940 | $13.59K | Apr 12, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 451.81 | $0.830 | $375 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | Apr 11, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.972 | $486 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 97.74 | $0.890 | $86.99 | Apr 10, 2026 UTC |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.907 | $1.55K | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 168 | $0.819 | $137.53 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.350 | $200 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 121.2 | $0.825 | $100 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.408 | $6.12 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.751 | $755 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.880 | $1.37K | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 222.16 | $0.900 | $200 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.420 | $420 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 739.4 | $0.676 | $500 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.720 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes | buy | 296.73 | $0.674 | $200 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.880 | $528 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.910 | $910 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 486.47 | $0.925 | $450 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.620 | $200 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.080 | $83.99 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.907 | $272.12 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.143 | $143.51 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 171.94 | $0.142 | $24.42 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.145 | $36.3 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.81K | $0.999 | $2.8K | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 421.94 | $0.237 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 253.16 | $0.778 | $196.93 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.381 | $400 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 203.74 | $0.589 | $120 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 202.16 | $0.554 | $112 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 250.94 | $0.530 | $133 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.159 | $159 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.165 | $165.39 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.538 | $545 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 31?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?Yes | buy | 130.86 | $0.764 | $100 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?No | buy | 6.43K | $0.933 | $6K | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?No | buy | 137.81 | $0.726 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | sell | 1.76K | $0.999 | $1.75K | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | sell | 2.17K | $0.801 | $1.73K | Mar 5, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.