Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 67% on 13 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 67% on 13 Mar 2026 and the lowest 18% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 18% on 15 Mar 2026. $22.2K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 7:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | 67.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Azure Scout 12D0 | Yes | 1K |
| 5atka | Yes | 199.24 |
| Mmiikka | Yes | 50 |
| guhnome | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET every day between market creation and the listed date (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-khamenei-tweet-every-day-through
| asdssss | Yes | 35.73 |
| negr | Yes | 35 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 30.38 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 30.04 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| peterjones2 | Yes | 17.41 |
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