Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pope Leo visit Peru first?No | sell | 375 | $0.998 | $374.25 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.13 |
| $0.940 |
| $2 |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Peru first?No | buy | 378.58 | $0.999 | $378.2 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?No | sell | 388.79 | $0.997 | $387.62 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?No | buy | 389.18 | $0.998 | $388.4 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | sell | 1.26 | $0.920 | $1.16 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.980 | $1.02 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.983 | $2.93 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.972 | $1.56 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Obama endorse Mamdani?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will the General Services Administration be most efficient on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.827 | $2 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Heathrow airport fire foul play confirmed before April?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross between 1-2m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 32.3 | $0.031 | $1 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will the Conservatives win between 100-119 seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Ye divorce before April?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.981 | $3.31 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Kanye's music pulled from Spotify before April?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.994 | $2.04 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No | sell | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Will Kanye name his token Swasticoin?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.954 | $2 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Kanye's music pulled from Spotify before April?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Ye divorce before April?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.889 | $3 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?No | sell | 1 | $0.994 | $0.99 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 27, 2025 |
 Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?No | sell | 4.7 | $0.981 | $4.61 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.977 | $4.6 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will there be 2-4 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on January 26?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 2025 January hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jan 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.979 | $4 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.972 | $4 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.981 | $4 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 5.18 | $0.969 | $5.02 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Aug 29, 2024 |