Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 52% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 132 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2025 to 4 Nov 2025, the highest close was 52% on 26 Jun 2025 and the lowest 1.7% on 4 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 12.5% on 5 Jul 2025. $135.03K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 132 points, 26 Jun 2025 – 4 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2025 | 52.0% |
| 4 Nov 2025 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| back-in-whack | Yes | 2.96K |
| LOLGGEZ | Yes | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.42K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama announces that he will vote for Zohran Mamdani or endorses Mamdani for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 25, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Barack Obama announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barack Obama or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Obama's endorsement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-obama-endorse-mamdani
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 436.51 |
| Silverhand | Yes | 404.76 |
| Unsightly-Retirement | Yes | 368.42 |
| nurs | Yes | 344.47 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 285 |
| ffff444 | Yes | 200.01 |
| AVD2006 | Yes | 183.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
