Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 10% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 31 Mar 2025, the highest close was 85.4% on 25 Mar 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 31 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 64 points down, to 21.6% on 26 Mar 2025. $8.54K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 31 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 10.0% |
| 31 Mar 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.36K |
| petanimal | Yes | 0.04 |
| JDULIA | Yes | 0.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the US federal agency that is #1 on the DOGE "Agency Efficiency Leaderboard" under the "Most Total Savings" filter on March 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). If there is a tie between two agencies, this market will resolve in favor of the agency whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is available here: https://doge.gov/savings
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-agency-will-be-most-efficient-end-of-march
| No |
| 0.01 |
| split | No | 0.01 |
| low.iq.games | Yes | 0.01 |
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