Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 3.5% on 22 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 30 Mar 2025. $6.38K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 2:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 3.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jkf | Yes | 27.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A fire at the North Hyde electrical substation in Hayes engulfed a transformer late Thursday night, plunging Heathrow Airport into darkness and triggering a full closure that has stranded tens of thousands of travelers (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/03/21/world/heathrow-airport-power-outage-fire#residents-near-the-burning-power-station-saw-a-massive-ball-of-flame) This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the fire at the North Hyde electrical substation involved foul play is released by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.K. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.K. government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/heathrow-airport-fire-foul-play-confirmed-before-april
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