Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 27 Jan 2025, the highest close was 57% on 11 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 27 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 20% on 15 Jan 2025. $137.89K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 5:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 27 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 43.5% |
| 27 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 300 |
| Waagh | Yes | 200.08 |
| Fore | Yes | 103.62 |
| ariesanywhere | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the date when the Palisades fire will be fully contained.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-palisades-fire-be-fully-contained
| AdmiralB | No | 46.09 |
| cashonlymafia | No | 29.85 |
| Irdi97 | Yes | 15.97 |
| coqeen1 | Yes | 5 |
| Bertios11 | Yes | 2.3 |
| LightScreenReader21 | Yes | 1.89 |
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