Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.090 | $0.17 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.38 |
| $0.170 |
| $0.57 |
| Aug 23, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Solana above $180 on July 25?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.56 | $0.220 | $1.44 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.440 | $1.83 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.987 | $2.09 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.900 | $2.81 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.961 | $3.36 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 6?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will a candidate say "Crime" 10+ times during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on May 29?Up | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | May 29, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips before August?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will John Mulaney actually fight children?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | May 26, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | May 26, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on May 22?Down | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | May 22, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 21?Up | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | May 21, 2025 |
 Champions League Final: 3+ goals?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | May 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | May 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | May 14, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?Up | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | May 10, 2025 |
 NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)Maple Leafs | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | May 9, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?Up | buy | 2.09 | $0.959 | $2 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the Green Party win 1 seat in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.890 | $1.07 | Apr 30, 2025 |