Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 55.5%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 21 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 23 Apr 2025 and the lowest 24% on 28 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 51.5% on 28 Apr 2025. $212.2K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 21 Mar 2025 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2025 | 33.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 55.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.23K |
| Royal Kestrel 0009 | No | 355 |
| Bold Maven 3257 | No | 310 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The next Canadian general election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the number of seats the Green Party wins in the House of Commons as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-seats-the-green-party-wins-in-canadian-election
| No |
| 285 |
| Emerald Comet A6D3 | No | 230 |
| Coral Pulse 317C | No | 220 |
| Azure Beacon 2E13 | No | 215 |
| Golden Signal A5B0 | No | 190 |
| Emerald Tide B3AF | No | 175 |
| Bold Oracle 5FDC | No | 150 |
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