Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?Yes | buy | 69.23 | $0.130 | $9 | Dec 14, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 80.93 |
| $0.074 |
| $5.99 |
| Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?Yes | buy | 90.96 | $0.176 | $16 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Kast win by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 143.81 | $0.021 | $3 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 386.72 | $0.041 | $15.74 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?No | buy | 200.89 | $0.045 | $8.94 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Successful Houthi attack on shipping by September 30?Yes | buy | 34.41 | $0.320 | $11.01 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?No | sell | 55.05 | $0.200 | $11.01 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?No | buy | 55.06 | $0.511 | $28.16 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 US recognize Somaliland in 2025?Yes | buy | 51.15 | $0.253 | $12.94 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 96.67 | $0.390 | $37.7 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 100.05 | $0.210 | $21 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan resign by August 31?Yes | buy | 74.57 | $0.140 | $10.44 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No | buy | 349.86 | $0.057 | $20 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.009 | $9 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 109.34 | $0.410 | $44.83 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 86.2 | $0.520 | $44.82 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 875 | $0.002 | $1.75 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 797.13 | $0.063 | $50 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 104.4 | $0.353 | $36.83 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 86.21 | $0.290 | $25 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.036 | $14.4 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | sell | 121.71 | $0.626 | $76.19 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?No | sell | 43.04 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 34.39 | $0.351 | $12.08 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 43.04 | $0.465 | $20 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.535 | $32.08 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 121.71 | $0.270 | $32.84 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | sell | 88.85 | $0.250 | $22.21 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | buy | 88.86 | $0.035 | $3.11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.360 | $21.6 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.426 | $21.3 | Jun 12, 2025 |