Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.6%. Yes opened at 49% on 3 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2025, the highest close was 97.6% on 30 Sep 2025 and the lowest 8.5% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 89 points up, to 97.6% on 30 Sep 2025. $47.4K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 3 Sep 2025 – 30 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2025 | 49.0% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 97.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tindache | No | 309.99 |
| Biskoto | No | 270.82 |
| ftmerchant | No | 220 |
| 0xFEF | No | 143.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial or military ship between September 1 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship which are shot down or don't hit a ship will not be considered for this market. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/successful-houthi-attack-on-shipping-by-september-30
| Baroulfie | No | 90.53 |
| Gingernuts | No | 90 |
| Silver Kestrel D849 | No | 76.92 |
| Yearly-Bachelor | No | 72.46 |
| 0xA046e37 | No | 64.58 |
| Eternal3 | No | 59.91 |
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