Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 25.4K | $0.500 | $22.23K | +$9.53K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | sell | 295.75 | $0.860 | $254.35 | Mar 17, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 26K |
| $0.500 |
| $13.39K |
| +$390 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 26K | $0.500 | $12.61K | -$390 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 25.4K | $0.500 | $3.18K | -$9.53K |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 997.8 | $0.907 | $980.33 | +$75.34 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 283.32 | $0.840 | $267.17 | +$29.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 259.74 | $0.890 | $247.66 | +$16.49 |
| sell |
| 555.55 |
| $0.910 |
| $505.65 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | sell | 709.88 | $0.944 | $670.13 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?No | buy | 478.92 | $0.940 | $450 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 815.22 | $0.920 | $750 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 709.88 | $0.929 | $659.48 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.900 | $500 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 295.75 | $0.790 | $233.64 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.890 | $231.17 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 164.27 | $0.840 | $137.99 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?No | sell | 44 | $0.662 | $29.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 80 | $0.640 | $51.2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 220 | $0.600 | $132.09 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 240 | $0.219 | $52.54 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.201 | $22.11 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.080 | $8.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.304 | $60.78 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 165 | $0.503 | $83 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?No | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.969 | $86.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 T20 World Cup: England vs New ZealandEngland | buy | 618.67 | $0.970 | $600 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: England vs New ZealandEngland | buy | 929 | $0.783 | $727.5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: England vs New ZealandNew Zealand | buy | 400 | $0.930 | $372 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| T20 World Cup: England vs New ZealandNew Zealand | buy | 132.4 | $0.755 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 27?No | sell | 144 | $0.080 | $11.52 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 27?No | sell | 56 | $0.130 | $7.28 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 105.26 | $0.980 | $103.14 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 186.75 | $0.830 | $155 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 310.98 | $0.820 | $255 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 111.11 | $0.878 | $97.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 184.07 | $0.801 | $147.38 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 184.07 | $0.842 | $155 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 222.82 | $0.984 | $219.31 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 321.03 | $0.970 | $311.4 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Pakistan strike on India by December 31?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?No | sell | 363.84 | $0.952 | $346.38 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 206.67 | $0.750 | $155 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?No | buy | 167.8 | $0.924 | $155 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 344.6 | $0.740 | $255 | Dec 5, 2025 |