Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$376.2K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2025 to 20 Aug 2025, the highest close was 58.5% on 16 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 6.9% on 18 Aug 2025. $376.17K traded over the market's life.

89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 8:57 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 20 Aug 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Jul 2025	58.5%
20 Aug 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	93.41K
gremal	Yes	25.72K
unknown0077	Yes	3.06K

10 of 89 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Bolivia's general elections are scheduled for 17 August 2025, with a runoff on 19 October if no candidate wins outright by securing over 50% of valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Bolivian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).