Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | buy | 28.4 | $0.081 | $2.3 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 216.48 |
| $0.092 |
| $20 |
| Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | buy | 221.89 | $0.090 | $20 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 80.44 | $0.090 | $7.24 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 9.22 | $0.090 | $0.83 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?Yes | sell | 8.61 | $0.043 | $0.37 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?Yes | sell | 14.44 | $0.032 | $0.46 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 58.67 | $0.090 | $5.28 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.070 | $0.39 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.630 | $0.85 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.550 | $0.98 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.520 | $0.94 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 45.63 | $0.031 | $1.41 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 20.56 | $0.090 | $1.85 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.130 | $1.86 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.110 | $0.61 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.420 | $0.68 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will 'Red One' gross less than $18m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.060 | $0.5 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will 'Moana 2' gross between $135-150m on 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.36 | $0.280 | $0.1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.43 | $0.230 | $0.1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will 'Red One' gross less than $18m on opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.140 | $0.1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.045 | $0.5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Germany confidence vote in 2024?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 175-199 times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 150-174 times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 10.15 | $0.049 | $0.5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times November 8-15?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.028 | $0.5 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 50 or more times Nov 8-15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Germany confidence vote in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on November 8?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.006 | $0.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in November?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.340 | $0.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.150 | $0.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.014 | $0.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Trump signs national abortion ban?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.090 | $0.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.310 | $0.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Promise of America" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.007 | $0.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |