Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 34% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 13 Nov 2024 and the low 0.1% on 2 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 24.5% on 14 Nov 2024. $622.27K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 10:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 20 points · 13 Nov 2024 – 2 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2024 | 34.0% |
| 2 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 321.6K |
| Retweet | Yes | 8K |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 2.44K |
| EduardT | Yes | 2.19K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on how much 'Moana 2' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Moana-2-(2024)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (November 27 - December 1) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Moana 2' (2024) grosses between $135,000,000 (inclusive) and $150,000,000 (exclusive) on its 5-day opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 5-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 9, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/moana-2-5-day-opening-weekend-box-office
| ofmearning | Yes | 990.27 |
| MrHands-090 | Yes | 375 |
| Djambax | Yes | 353.97 |
| KmuTechG | Yes | 270.27 |
| tresthal | Yes | 250.54 |
| Eric13 | Yes | 247.5 |
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