Latest trade
Sep 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 9:23 PM UTC.
Analytics
Crimson Kestrel 2F68 is down $4.84 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 9:23 PM UTC.
$1.32 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Aug 4, 2026 UTC to Sep 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.710 | $1.88 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-15 20:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 21:23 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 21:23 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-15 20:45 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $1.82 and losing ones cost $6.66 across the latest 50 settled positions. 4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.24 on “Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.02 on “Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10.25B?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Sep 2026. It has traded 130 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.08 |
| $0.480 |
| $1 |
| Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.650 | $1.56 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.560 | $1.47 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 12?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on September 12?Yes | buy | 71.05 | $0.014 | $1 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in Arlington?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.520 | $1.29 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Democrat" during his remarks in Arlington?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.560 | $1.24 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his remarks in Arlington?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.650 | $1.85 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Negotiate" or "Negotiated" or "Negotiation" during his remarks in Arlington?No | buy | 1.29 | $0.780 | $1.01 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.680 | $1.04 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.690 | $1.92 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 3.09 | $0.740 | $2.29 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.790 | $2.01 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.800 | $1.61 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.760 | $2.07 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.380 | $1.2 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.650 | $1.91 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.760 | $2.17 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.760 | $2.43 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 3.2 | $0.760 | $2.43 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.680 | $1.94 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.750 | $2.28 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.810 | $2.09 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump Insult Mapquest this week?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.820 | $1.52 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?No | buy | 2.48 | $0.640 | $1.59 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.790 | $2.01 | Sep 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.780 | $1.24 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.600 | $1.67 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Aug 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.500 | $1.19 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.610 | $1.33 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.700 | $1.9 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $90B?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.730 | $1.27 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.380 | $1.17 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Manufacturing" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.670 | $1.48 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.440 | $1.21 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.610 | $1.63 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.720 | $1.31 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.590 | $1.67 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |