
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 35% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 8 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 3 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 8 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 11.5% on 6 Aug 2026. $54.98K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 8 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 35.0% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nycfan | Yes | 5K |
| insidetrader589 | Yes | 3K |
| Betmeonce | Yes | 1.73K |
| Peppery-Strawman-Rhubarb | Yes | 430.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate conducts any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act, or on a motion relating to it, by 11:59:59 PM ET on August 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "recorded vote" is any vote in which individual Senators' positions are officially recorded, including roll call votes and yea-and-nay votes. The following satisfy the resolution criteria: - A vote on final passage of the bill - A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill - A vote on cloture, including cloture on the bill or cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill The following do NOT satisfy the resolution criteria: - Voice votes or division votes where individual Senators' positions are not recorded - Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote - Committee votes - Votes on amendments to the bill - Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, or deemed passage without an actual vote For purposes of this market, votes on Senate legislation that serves as the legislative vehicle for the CLARITY Act's crypto market structure provisions (e.g., a Senate substitute for or companion to H.R. 3633) will count as votes on the CLARITY Act. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov), Library of Congress (http://congress.gov), and Congressional Record (https://www.congress.gov/congressional-record).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-senate-vote-on-the-clarity-act-before-the-august-recess-20260729185025133
| btc313 | Yes | 378.73 |
| Leleleoo | Yes | 296.23 |
| JohnWick | Yes | 261.66 |
| bjarn | Yes | 223.73 |
| chuohanbei | Yes | 211.67 |
| lumuqin | Yes | 185.3 |
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