Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 11 Sep 2026, the highest close was 78% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 47.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 47.5% on 9 Sep 2026. $3.61K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 11 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 50.5% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 09F911029D74 | No | 2K |
| nbs8 | No | 99.99 |
| .Menthe | No | 49.99 |
| Rusty-Espadrille | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-rnc-convention
| a5533 | No | 15 |
| Solar Harbor A009 | Yes | 5.31 |
| Ingvar-22 | No | 2.22 |
| oidocrop | Yes | 0.05 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
