Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 15 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 15 Sep 2026 to 17 Sep 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 16 Sep 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 17 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 18.5% on 17 Sep 2026. $2.37K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 17 Sep 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 38.0% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hahahah1111 | Yes | 472.03 |
| Mavrodey | Yes | 121.95 |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 107.32 |
| XVision | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in North Carolina on September 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://abc11.com/post/first-lady-president-trump-visit-north-carolina-back-days-asheville-gastonia/19829634/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks in North Carolina on September 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". For terms listing multiple words (e.g. "Word1" or "Word2"), any mention of any of the listed words counts toward that term's total. For terms with a stated count threshold (e.g. "20+ times"), the market resolves "Yes" only if the combined mentions of the listed words for that term reach the threshold. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-in-north-carolina
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| alligatorr | Yes | 30 |
| Bold Atlas DF9B | Yes | 15.28 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| a5533 | Yes | 5 |
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