Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 11.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 4 Sep 2026 and the low 11.5% on 6 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 12.5% on 5 Sep 2026. $5K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 3:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 4 Sep 2026 – 11 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| collectorr | No | 950 |
| tripsomewheresouth | No | 173.2 |
| Keen Atlas 7678 | No | 163.09 |
| Sentimental-Asparagus | No | 100 |
| blondebetty | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| AiBird | No | 46.22 |
| bechamel | No | 1.04 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-rnc-convention
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