Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.081 | $31.48 | -$68.52 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.081 | $100 | May 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 169.23 |
| $0.390 |
| $66 |
| Sep 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?No | buy | 81.25 | $0.800 | $65 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?No | buy | 25.84 | $0.774 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 33.89 | $0.590 | $20 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 72.94 | $0.617 | $45 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden make an appearance by September 22?No | buy | 233.33 | $0.600 | $140 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 85.29 | $0.938 | $80 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Khaled Mashal public appearance by September 19?No | buy | 63.79 | $0.862 | $55 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Khaled Mashal public appearance by September 19?No | buy | 65.35 | $0.850 | $55.55 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 90.26 | $0.720 | $64.99 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (September 8-14)No | buy | 55.56 | $0.990 | $55 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 119.19 | $0.654 | $78 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?No | buy | 189.56 | $0.849 | $161 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by September 15?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.870 | $150 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "China" during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 133.9 | $0.747 | $100 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Next Generation" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?No | buy | 121.42 | $0.882 | $107.06 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?No | buy | 133.9 | $0.780 | $104.44 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?Yes | sell | 105.36 | $0.991 | $104.44 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Modi talk by September 5?No | buy | 219.32 | $0.957 | $209.9 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?Yes | buy | 105.37 | $0.949 | $100 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 54.34 | $0.925 | $50.25 | Aug 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 29?No | buy | 42.17 | $0.890 | $37.52 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Doug Polk’s win his “Gauntlet” Challenge?No | sell | 37.56 | $0.999 | $37.52 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Doug Polk’s win his “Gauntlet” Challenge?No | buy | 37.56 | $0.865 | $32.48 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 50% India tariff in effect by August 27?Yes | buy | 23.61 | $0.971 | $22.93 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | sell | 50.25 | $0.450 | $22.61 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| 50% India tariff in effect by August 27?Yes | buy | 108.86 | $0.790 | $86 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | buy | 100.5 | $0.756 | $76 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?No | buy | 102.27 | $0.880 | $90 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $4200 on August 20?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?No | sell | 231.21 | $0.994 | $229.85 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?No | buy | 101.89 | $0.930 | $94.76 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| North Korea missile test by August 31?No | buy | 57.82 | $0.865 | $50 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet more August 16 than day before?Yes | buy | 94.06 | $0.797 | $75 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?No | buy | 129.32 | $0.842 | $108.92 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| North Korea missile test by August 15?No | buy | 61.91 | $0.953 | $59 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 113.79 | $0.615 | $70 | Aug 11, 2025 |