Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 24 Aug 2025 and the low 10.5% on 23 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 89 points up, to 100% on 24 Aug 2025. $43.15K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 25, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 12 Aug 2025 – 24 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | 28.5% |
| 24 Aug 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PalazzoJJS | No | 1.07K |
| g128 | No | 90 |
| stealfromthestup1d | No | 84.91 |
| Maxinator | No | 57.82 |
| jiwoo14 | No | 55.95 |
| papichuio | Yes | 39.13 |
| dhanus1 | No | 12.5 |
| jayrod | No | 11.76 |
| splicing | No | 5 |
| S888 | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between August 11, 1:00 PM ET, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-test-by-august-31-873
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