Analytics
Resolved Up on 13 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 89.5%. The Up side opened at 45% on 6 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 89.5% on 13 Sep 2025 and the low 35.5% on 11 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 65.5% on 12 Sep 2025. $5.72K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 14, 4:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 6 Sep 2025 – 13 Sep 2025
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2025 | 45.0% |
| 13 Sep 2025 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| autohedge | Down | 110 |
| ungovernable | Down | 89.99 |
| lissartter | Down | 62.61 |
| Jealous-Envy | Down | 52.63 |
| bet-racer | Down | 50 |
| myusernamehere | Up | 16.77 |
| LB1T | Down | 13.79 |
| kingwindring | Down | 2.13 |
| staur | Down | 2.13 |
| wieshan | Down | 1.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 12, than September 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 5, than September 12, 2025. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-up-or-down-this-week-333
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
