Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 341.77 | $0.790 | $328.61 | +$58.61 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Jun 16, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 284.09 |
| $0.880 |
| $279.12 |
| +$29.12 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 24.69 | $0.810 | $23.33 | +$3.33 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 57.14 | $0.350 | $8.26 | -$11.74 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 44.98 | $0.445 | $3.37 | -$16.63 |
| buy |
| 454.55 |
| $0.220 |
| $100 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 50.63 | $0.790 | $40 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 52.98 | $0.189 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.973 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 44.98 | $0.445 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 USDE depeg by December 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes | sell | 68.96 | $0.111 | $7.63 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 43.96 | $0.910 | $40 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Modi out in 2025?No | buy | 20.47 | $0.977 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 US bank failure by October 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 French election called by December 31?No | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionYes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionYes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No | buy | 21.76 | $0.919 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Napoli vs. Inter end in a draw?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.580 | $40 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?Yes | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.840 | $20.24 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.96 | $0.910 | $40 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.28 | $0.986 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 43.01 | $0.930 | $40 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.980 | $40 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Yes | buy | 40.4 | $0.495 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Hillary Clinton federally charged by December 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.860 | $40 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?No | buy | 44.65 | $0.448 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.45 | $0.818 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?No | buy | 69.77 | $0.860 | $60 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.740 | $40 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Oct 11, 2025 |