Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 10 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 26% on 12 Sep 2025 and the low 0.5% on 20 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 26% on 12 Sep 2025. $19.83K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 21, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 10 Sep 2025 – 20 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2025 | 20.5% |
| 20 Sep 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| S888 | Yes | 532.97 |
| 33IkeeOKINMWESA | Yes | 236.84 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 107.99 |
| Limited-Handle | Yes | 61.11 |
| lissartter | Yes | 56.57 |
| majormajor | Yes | 28.57 |
| Autus | Yes | 23.22 |
| Eladka | Yes | 22.22 |
| nostradamus3003 | Yes | 14.77 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 7.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Khaled Mashal is photographed or videotaped between September 9, 5:00 PM ET, and September 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Khaled Mashal, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-khaled-mashal-make-an-appearance-by-september-19
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