Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 38.5% on 29 Aug 2025 and the low 8% on 9 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 24% on 30 Aug 2025. $5.93K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 29 Aug 2025 – 9 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 38.5% |
| 9 Sep 2025 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qwertzu | Yes | 169.96 |
| burja8 | Yes | 122.31 |
| gagigogi | Yes | 116.67 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 112 |
| amsdamsgram | Yes | 80 |
| Dgitsxgjtsxjurscjj | Yes | 60 |
| Bubbly-Reveal | Yes | 58.57 |
| px13 | Yes | 55.56 |
| Pikapika | Yes | 54.35 |
| kk2811 | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H3KnMyojEQU
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/apple-launch-event-mentions-september-9
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
