Latest trade
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:22 AM UTC.
Analytics
Different-Denominator is down $2.15 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 10:22 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Nov 30, 2025 UTC to Jul 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.92 | $0.591 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 10:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 10:22 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $50.83 and losing ones cost $9.46 across 21 settled positions. 71.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $14.67 on “Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?” (No); the largest loss, $4 on “Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Jul 2026. It has traded 46 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 24.54 |
| $0.407 |
| $10 |
| Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.209 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.146 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.516 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 3.86 | $0.259 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 17.93 | $0.910 | $16.32 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 20.54 | $0.986 | $20.25 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?Yes | buy | 95.45 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.71 | $0.018 | $0.16 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 UTC |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.260 | $1.79 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.080 | $0.36 | Dec 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.088 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| 'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?25 bps cut | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?No | buy | 9.55 | $0.105 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Nov 30, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.