Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 38% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 9 Dec 2025 to 16 Dec 2025, the highest close was 65% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 57 points down, to 7.8% on 14 Dec 2025. $464.17K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 16 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 38.0% |
| 16 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bb98bb | Yes | 3.44K |
| iiconspiracy | Yes | 1.15K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 784 |
| 123123sak | Yes | 781.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Thailand and Cambodia between December 8, and December 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thailand-x-cambodia-ceasefire-by-december-15
| Darling-Pun | Yes | 766.81 |
| lulu19 | Yes | 714.29 |
| S888 | Yes | 603.71 |
| Misty Comet 77FF | Yes | 440.77 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 303 |
| dubing | Yes | 300 |
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