Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:56 PM UTC.
Analytics
ortmzecnqe has made $80.65 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 10:56 PM UTC.
$31.57 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 680.31 | $0.950 | $660.92 | +$14.62 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Oklahoma City, OK face tornado risk on October 23?No | buy | 30 | $0.990 | $29.7 | 31m ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 20:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
24 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 22:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 22:56 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 20:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $86.4 and losing ones cost $12.35 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $33.21 on “Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?” (No); the largest loss, $7.75 on “Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 154 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.43K across 24 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 516.29 |
| $0.971 |
| $514.22 |
| +$13.02 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | No | 350.64 | $0.990 | $348.71 | +$1.73 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | No | 290.12 | $0.960 | $286.2 | +$7.56 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 23? | No | 130 | $0.996 | $129.94 | +$0.52 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.946 | $99.5 | +$4.89 |
 Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 31, 2026? | No | 90.09 | $0.977 | $89.28 | +$1.25 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 51 | $0.960 | $50.67 | +$1.71 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | No | 38.99 | $0.994 | $38.89 | +$0.16 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 23? | No | 33.95 | $0.999 | $33.93 | +$0.02 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 31 | $0.988 | $29.88 | -$0.74 |
| Will Oklahoma City, OK face tornado risk on October 23? | No | 30 | $0.990 | $22.5 | -$7.2 |
| Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on October 23? | No | 30 | $0.990 | $22.5 | -$7.2 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 23? | No | 20 | $0.990 | $19.99 | +$0.19 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.29 | -$0.5 |
 Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | Yes | 17.26 | $0.988 | $16.97 | -$0.09 |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week? | Yes | 10.24 | $0.999 | $10.21 | -$0.02 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $7.95 | -$0.95 |
 Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.42 | $0.970 | $7.25 | +$0.05 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.949 | $4.65 | -$0.1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.840 | $4.45 | +$0.25 |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 20, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.15 | -$0.35 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.860 | $3.96 | -$0.34 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 5 | $0.280 | $1.43 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.990 |
| $29.7 |
| 32m ago |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.31 | $0.960 | $0.3 | 46m ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.949 | $56.95 | 53m ago |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.950 | $646 | 55m ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 23?Yes | buy | 79.8 | $0.999 | $79.72 | 4h ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 70.09 | $0.978 | $68.53 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 11.3 | $0.998 | $11.28 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.998 | $29.14 | 5h ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 5h ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 5h ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 20, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | 5h ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 5h ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 90.01 | $0.999 | $89.92 | 5h ago |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 19.5 | $0.957 | $18.67 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.956 | $33.45 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.939 | $61.05 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No | buy | 63.3 | $0.993 | $62.86 | 5h ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 5h ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of October 19 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 5h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?No | buy | 329.03 | $0.972 | $319.83 | 6h ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 276.1 | $0.999 | $275.82 | 6h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on October 23?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.999 | $79.92 | 6h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 23?No | buy | 33.95 | $0.999 | $33.92 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No | buy | 48.38 | $0.985 | $47.64 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 46.19 | $0.995 | $45.96 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 6h ago |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.999 | $10.23 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | 6h ago |
 Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?No | buy | 178.58 | $0.999 | $178.4 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 6h ago |
 Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No | buy | 293.35 | $0.999 | $293.06 | 6h ago |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 495.69 | $0.997 | $494.3 | 6h ago |
 Will US gas hit $4.28 (High) the week of October 19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | 8h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No | buy | 78.54 | $0.992 | $77.91 | 9h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.