Analytics
ortmzecnqe has made $73.86 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 630.5 | $0.998 | $618.84 | -$10.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 16:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
45 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 17:42 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 17:42 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 16:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $81.95 and losing ones cost $12.35 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $33.21 on “Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?” (No); the largest loss, $7.75 on “Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?” (Yes).
It has traded 148 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.73K across 45 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 580 |
| $0.998 |
| $579.13 |
| +$0.21 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026? | No | 516.29 | $0.971 | $504.67 | +$3.47 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 495.69 | $0.997 | $491.23 | -$3.07 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | No | 350.64 | $0.990 | $348.36 | +$1.38 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026? | No | 302.76 | $0.999 | $295.49 | -$6.85 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 293.35 | $0.999 | $291.44 | -$1.61 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 23? | Yes | 250 | $0.996 | $249.5 | +$0.5 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | No | 230.12 | $0.963 | $229.08 | +$7.39 |
 Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? | No | 178.58 | $0.999 | $175.28 | -$3.13 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 23? | No | 130 | $0.996 | $129.74 | +$0.32 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.946 | $99.65 | +$5.04 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on October 23? | No | 74.99 | $0.999 | $74.95 | +$0.04 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 51 | $0.960 | $50.06 | +$1.1 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in October? | Yes | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | $0 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October? | Yes | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | $0 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of October 19 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | $0 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 19 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.999 | $49.75 | -$0.2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | No | 38.99 | $0.994 | $38.81 | +$0.08 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 23? | No | 33.95 | $0.999 | $33.88 | -$0.03 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 31 | $0.988 | $29.85 | -$0.77 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23? | No | 30 | $0.999 | $29.7 | -$0.27 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 19 above $470? | Yes | 30 | $0.999 | $28.61 | -$1.37 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23? | No | 28 | $0.995 | $25.94 | -$1.92 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.991 | $19.99 | +$0.17 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
