Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 20.4% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 0.1% on 23 Oct 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on October 23?”.
$160 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 120 shares; the largest No position is ortmzecnqe with 130.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 8:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 20.4% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ortmzecnqe | No | 130 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 120 |
| Holmatro | No | 30 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on October 23, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/msft-close-above-on-october-23-2026
| triklozoid |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
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