Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:45 PM UTC.
Analytics
ortmzecnqe has made $73.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 4:45 PM UTC.
$29.81 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 37 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on October 23? | Yes | 580 | $0.998 | $579.13 | +$0.21 |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 276.1 | $0.999 | $275.82 | just now |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 16:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
39 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 16:45 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 16:45 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 16:02 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $81.95 and losing ones cost $12.35 across the latest 50 settled positions. 96% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $33.21 on “Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?” (No); the largest loss, $7.75 on “Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 140 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.9K across 39 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 570 |
| $0.998 |
| $560.6 |
| -$8.27 |
 Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 495.69 | $0.997 | $491.23 | -$3.07 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026? | No | 302.76 | $0.999 | $295.49 | -$6.85 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | No | 293.35 | $0.999 | $291.44 | -$1.61 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | No | 287.34 | $0.989 | $282.89 | -$1.24 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 23? | Yes | 250 | $0.996 | $249.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? | No | 178.58 | $0.999 | $175.1 | -$3.3 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026? | No | 172.26 | $0.968 | $171.31 | +$4.59 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 23? | No | 130 | $0.996 | $129.74 | +$0.32 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.946 | $99.6 | +$4.99 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026? | No | 85.62 | $0.992 | $85.06 | +$0.09 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on October 23? | No | 74.99 | $0.999 | $74.95 | +$0.04 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 51 | $0.960 | $49.75 | +$0.79 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026? | No | 38.99 | $0.994 | $38.64 | -$0.1 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 23? | No | 33.95 | $0.999 | $31.42 | -$2.5 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23? | No | 30 | $0.999 | $29.7 | -$0.27 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 31 | $0.988 | $29.65 | -$0.98 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 19 above $470? | Yes | 30 | $0.999 | $28.91 | -$1.07 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23? | No | 28 | $0.995 | $25.89 | -$1.98 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.991 | $19.99 | +$0.17 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 23? | No | 20 | $0.990 | $19.83 | +$0.03 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | No | 20 | $0.990 | $19.59 | -$0.22 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.940 | $18.09 | -$0.7 |
 Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | Yes | 17.26 | $0.988 | $16.91 | -$0.14 |
| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.999 |
| $79.92 |
| 2m ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on October 23?No | buy | 33.95 | $0.999 | $33.92 | 2m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 3m ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No | buy | 48.38 | $0.985 | $47.64 | 3m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 9m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 9m ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 46.19 | $0.995 | $45.96 | 13m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 15m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 16m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 18m ago |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.999 | $10.23 | 20m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | 21m ago |
| Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?No | buy | 178.58 | $0.999 | $178.4 | 22m ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 22m ago |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No | buy | 293.35 | $0.999 | $293.06 | 23m ago |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 495.69 | $0.997 | $494.3 | 24m ago |
 Will US gas hit $4.28 (High) the week of October 19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | 2h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No | buy | 78.54 | $0.992 | $77.91 | 3h ago |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 19 above $470?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | 3h ago |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | 3h ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at $330-$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?No | buy | 28 | $0.995 | $27.86 | 3h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 23?No | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | 3h ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | 3h ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 3h ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 16.66 | $0.993 | $16.54 | 3h ago |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $550 on October 23?No | buy | 130 | $0.996 | $129.42 | 3h ago |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 3h ago |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | 3h ago |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 3.94 | $0.990 | $3.9 | 3h ago |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 0.31 | $0.990 | $0.31 | 3h ago |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of October 19 2026?No | buy | 0.31 | $0.990 | $0.31 | 3h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $790 on October 23?No | buy | 74.99 | $0.999 | $74.92 | 3h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 23?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.996 | $249 | 3h ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on October 23?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | 3h ago |
 Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.999 | $5.75 | 7h ago |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?No | buy | 523.8 | $0.999 | $523.28 | 7h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No | buy | 29.89 | $0.992 | $29.65 | 7h ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 22?Yes | buy | 36.49 | $0.999 | $36.45 | 8h ago |
 Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 10h ago |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | 10h ago |
| Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Florida not air?No | buy | 17 | $0.995 | $16.92 | 10h ago |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?No | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.81 | 10h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?No | buy | 121.26 | $0.988 | $119.81 | 10h ago |
 Will Trump say "Google" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Yes | buy | 274.39 | $0.999 | $274.12 | 10h ago |
 Will Atlanta, GA face tornado risk on October 22?No | buy | 225 | $0.990 | $222.75 | 20h ago |
 Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 250?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 20h ago |
| Will Western Digital (WDC) Q1 exabytes shipped be above 245?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 20h ago |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 22?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.997 | $59.83 | 20h ago |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $335 on October 22?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | 21h ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.