Analytics
Yes is at 20.5%, up 6.5 points from 14% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 41% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 14% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 40.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25)”.
$260 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.27K since listing. The order book holds $223.58, with a 39.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 40 trades, $140.45 bought Yes and $526.96 bought No.
The largest Yes position is PMMMR with 455 shares; the largest No position is KingZeManel with 600. Ten wallets hold 95.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 3:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KingZeManel | No | 600.38 |
| PMMMR | Yes | 455.47 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 225 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-19-october-25-20261025
| MARW-2026-Piotr |
| Yes |
| 150 |
| conormurphy | No | 128.63 |
| weather-vane | No | 100 |
| azon7 | Yes | 61 |
| Anjun | No | 55 |
| Flingflonger | Yes | 39.2 |
| Dirty-Burn | No | 39.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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