Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $1.62 | -$3.38 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-13?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.45 |
| $0.918 |
| $5 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will "Stranger Things 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?Yes | buy | 52.68 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.980 | $16.06 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 6.81 | $0.910 | $6.2 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 3.2 | $0.985 | $3.15 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.958 | $1.36 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.230 | $7.67 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes | sell | 32.9 | $0.590 | $19.41 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.920 | $10.45 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.102 | $6.78 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?No | sell | 12.36 | $0.840 | $10.38 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.045 | $3 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.809 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 31.33 | $0.978 | $30.64 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 28.98 | $0.820 | $23.76 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 44.17 | $0.453 | $20 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 23.44 | $0.966 | $22.64 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?No | sell | 16.5 | $0.960 | $15.84 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.01 | $0.952 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |