Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 149.25 | $0.670 | $127.76 | +$27.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 370.37 |
| $0.270 |
| $89.81 |
| -$10.18 |
| buy |
| 149.25 |
| $0.670 |
| $100 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by January 31?Yes | buy | 176.49 | $0.567 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiNo | buy | 209.01 | $0.478 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?No | buy | 161.45 | $0.299 | $48.28 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 308.5 | $0.700 | $215.95 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No | buy | 106.6 | $0.938 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.112 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 197.36 | $0.003 | $0.59 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 289.78 | $0.863 | $250 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 257.61 | $0.999 | $257.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 107.93 | $0.880 | $94.98 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 149.68 | $0.880 | $131.72 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.590 | $50 | Aug 5, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.004 | $1.43 | Jul 23, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?No | sell | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 197.37 | $0.380 | $75 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?No | buy | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 105.63 | $0.710 | $75 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 120.77 | $0.828 | $100 | Jul 3, 2024 |
 Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?No | buy | 22.4 | $0.893 | $20 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.290 | $25 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 33.09 | $0.770 | $25.48 | Jun 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 25.93 | $0.983 | $25.49 | Jun 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 25.93 | $0.964 | $25 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 26.51 | $0.943 | $25 | Feb 27, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 37.63 | $0.930 | $35 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Feb 27, 2024 |