Latest trade
Dec 17, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:08 PM UTC.
Analytics
Half-Derivation has made $372.89 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 17, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 3:08 PM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 22 trades covered 17 markets; 81.8% were buys. They run from Jul 10, 2024 UTC to Dec 17, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.380 | $500.88 | Dec 17, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-03 08:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 15:08 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
22 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 15:08 UTC
polymarket positions
16 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-03 08:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $432.88 and losing ones cost $9.99 across 14 settled positions. 71.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $421.79 on “Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?” (No); the largest loss, $5 on “Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Dec 2025. It has traded 17 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.32K |
| $0.060 |
| $79.09 |
| Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 72.31 | $0.968 | $70 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 101.52 | $0.962 | $97.66 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 139.86 | $0.700 | $97.9 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 139.86 | $0.715 | $100 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 104.57 | $0.970 | $101.43 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 104.58 | $0.956 | $100 | Aug 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 41.02 | $0.049 | $2 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
 Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?No | buy | 57.52 | $0.261 | $15 | Feb 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Dec 29, 2024 UTC |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Oct 27, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Sep 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 10, 2024 UTC |
 OpenSea token announcement in 2024?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jul 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Milady flip BAYC in 2024?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 10, 2024 UTC |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jul 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jul 10, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.