Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.41K | $0.710 | $866.2 | -$133.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Aug 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 172.41 |
| $0.290 |
| $21.55 |
| -$28.45 |
| buy |
| 1.41K |
| $0.710 |
| $1K |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by August 16, 2026?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.985 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.940 | $1.08K | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.027 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.867 | $1K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.966 | $1.11K | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.038 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 21.65 | $0.462 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.984 | $1.02K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 658.66 | $0.911 | $600 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 131.05 | $0.860 | $112.7 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 478.7 | $0.860 | $411.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 381.21 | $0.787 | $300 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 363.38 | $0.985 | $357.93 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 273.71 | $0.026 | $7.09 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 363.39 | $0.826 | $300 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 126.32 | $0.950 | $120 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 264.4 | $0.177 | $46.71 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.995 | $663.33 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.030 | $20 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 298.94 | $0.033 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by February 28?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 626.71 | $0.070 | $43.87 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 629.71 | $0.079 | $50 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 454.56 | $0.110 | $50 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 190.2 | $0.272 | $51.76 | Jan 31, 2025 |