Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.060 | $4.29 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 142.85 |
| $0.012 |
| $1.65 |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 41.19 | $0.269 | $11.08 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.090 | $1.13 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 212.72 | $0.020 | $4.25 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 18?Yes | buy | 25.71 | $0.035 | $0.9 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Elon do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl before election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No | buy | 112.89 | $0.089 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will head of FEMA be fired/resign before November?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.133 | $2 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Tampon" on Call Her Daddy?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.007 | $0.21 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during North Carolina town hall?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.003 | $5 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.999 | $16.1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Alexandre de Moraes jail in 2024?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.040 | $2 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 396.67 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 81.74 | $0.024 | $2 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Wood as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 207.14 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Andresen as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 108.57 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 218.71 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.186 | $3 | Oct 4, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?Yes | sell | 17.64 | $0.800 | $14.11 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $60-66m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.082 | $5 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Roaring Kitty charged in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Oct 3, 2024 |
| Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will Qualcomm acquire Intel?Yes | buy | 62.82 | $0.032 | $2 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran before November?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.096 | $5 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Oct 3, 2024 |