Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 28 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 40% on 28 Sep 2024 and the low 7.5% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 13.5% on 29 Sep 2024. $36.49K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 5:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Sep 2024 – 4 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2024 | 40.0% |
| 4 Oct 2024 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.59K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 500 |
| work4 | Yes | 50 |
| ingoj | Yes | 47.84 |
| nickf | Yes | 22.79 |
| Andyxxx-415 | Yes | 10.64 |
| bt5 | Yes | 10.42 |
| LLWWPP | Yes | 0.12 |
| Skins | Yes | 0.11 |
| Venomancer | Yes | 0.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 27 and October 4.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-27-oct-4
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