Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 1 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 158 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 6.5% on 1 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 27 Oct 2024. $18.04K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 5:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 1 Jun 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2024 | 6.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impeccable-Month | Yes | 339.71 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 179.35 |
| WoodGauntlet | No | 105.26 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between May 30 and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by November 4 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump, Melania Trump, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-melania-trump-divorce-before-election
New to prediction markets?
| RabbitWorker | No | 96.42 |
| AbelTranson | Yes | 58.82 |
| djm17 | No | 50.1 |
| RadLilDude | Yes | 41.67 |
| Livid-Actor | Yes | 35.18 |
| Cosmic Vector 0412 | Yes | 33 |
| Adventurous-Cosset | Yes | 21.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
