Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.6% on 9 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 132 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 2.6% on 9 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Oct 2024. $7.17M traded over the market's life.
285 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 132 points, 9 Aug 2024 – 18 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | 2.6% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.07M |
| undertaker | Yes | 158.26K |
| Emerald Beacon F675 | Yes | 52.21K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither a democrat-nominated nor a republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based off the official vote count once all U.S. States and the District of Columbia have certified their votes.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/popular-vote-margin-of-victory-in-presidential-election
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 50K |
| ER03PT | Yes | 36.43K |
| ER01MM | Yes | 22.39K |
| TeamGnosis | Yes | 14.65K |
| ER02CB | Yes | 13.67K |
| patssaugrazus | Yes | 10K |
| thejoker69 | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
