Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes | sell | 899.38 | $0.003 | $2.66 | Nov 14, 2024 |
|
| sell |
| 899.38 |
| $0.002 |
| $1.8 |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
| Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?Yes | sell | 899.38 | $0.052 | $46.91 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | sell | 899.39 | $0.032 | $28.62 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | sell | 899.38 | $0.812 | $730.64 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.017 | $86.67 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.001 | $5.1 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.004 | $18.5 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | sell | 5.1K | $0.938 | $4.78K | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.006 | $10.96 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.020 | $36.74 | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.762 | $1.39K | Nov 14, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.130 | $237.69 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 11.16K | $0.996 | $11.11K | Nov 14, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 1K | $0.981 | $981 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 344.51 | $0.989 | $340.72 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 344.51 | $0.022 | $7.57 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 80.64 | $0.980 | $79.03 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 80.64 | $0.025 | $2.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 483.7 | $0.999 | $483.22 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 36.37K | $0.002 | $72.73 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 36.37K | $0.999 | $36.33K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 10.88K | $0.985 | $10.72K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 10.88K | $0.040 | $435.39 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 16.49K | $0.999 | $16.47K | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 16.49K | $0.002 | $32.98 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 570.7 | $0.002 | $1.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 570.7 | $0.999 | $570.13 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 133.14 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 133.14 | $0.999 | $133.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 200 | $0.032 | $6.4 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseYes | sell | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 7 swing states?Yes | sell | 554 | $0.965 | $534.67 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states?Yes | sell | 554 | $0.001 | $0.55 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | sell | 554 | $0.039 | $21.61 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump win no swing states?Yes | sell | 554 | $0.001 | $0.55 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.160 | $21.92 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.270 | $37 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.002 | $0.27 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.520 | $71.26 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.022 | $3.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.027 | $3.7 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | sell | 137.03 | $0.001 | $0.14 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | sell | 314.39 | $0.498 | $156.57 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | sell | 314.39 | $0.006 | $1.82 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | sell | 314.39 | $0.001 | $0.31 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 314.39 | $0.027 | $8.49 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 314.39 | $0.001 | $0.31 | Nov 6, 2024 |