Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

politicsResolved

No, settled Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$8.0M

Resolved

Settled

Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Topic room2028 US Election

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 1% on 10 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Oct 2024. $8M traded over the market's life.

123 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 8:47 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.7M
qrpenc	Yes	3.79K
otas	Yes	3K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is the official 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president on November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.