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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.500 | $37 | +$17 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.72 | $0.774 | $8.3 | Jul 11, 2026 |
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| No |
| 13 |
| $0.977 |
| $12.76 |
| +$0.06 |
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.72 | $0.774 | $9.26 | +$0.96 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 8 | $0.720 | $7.56 | +$1.8 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.689 | $4.4 | -$10.07 |
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 12 | $0.310 | $2.16 | -$1.56 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.790 | $1.75 | +$0.17 |
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 8 | $0.130 | $0.56 | -$0.48 |
| buy |
| 12 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.2 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.720 | $5.76 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.908 | $4.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.130 | $1.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.856 | $8.56 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.909 | $8.18 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.091 | $1.46 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No | buy | 13 | $0.977 | $12.7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.110 | $1.21 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.310 | $6.51 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.180 | $3.96 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 22 | $0.790 | $17.38 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 14 | $0.700 | $9.8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.310 | $6.51 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.689 | $26.87 | Mar 16, 2026 |