Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla reach $548 in November?No | buy | 20.6 | $0.994 | $20.48 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 20.7 |
| $0.975 |
| $20.18 |
| Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Cuba win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 9.69 | $0.992 | $9.61 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 10.49 | $0.969 | $10.16 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Arizona State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No | sell | 321.7 | $0.994 | $319.77 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Arizona State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No | buy | 321.71 | $0.995 | $320.1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.930 | $5.25 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.971 | $5.24 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?No | buy | 9.06 | $0.992 | $8.99 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?Yes | sell | 15.93 | $0.020 | $0.32 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?Yes | buy | 15.93 | $0.430 | $6.85 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will the US add less than 50k jobs in June?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.759 | $5.84 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in June?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.978 | $7.53 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 7.92 | $0.950 | $7.52 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.979 | $5.63 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 6.74 | $0.944 | $6.36 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.934 | $6.22 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.941 | $6.35 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.962 | $6.02 | May 21, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before June?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.950 | $6.17 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.948 | $5.95 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will the Delhi Capitals win the 2025 Indian Premier League?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.973 | $5.89 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.990 | $5.89 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.965 | $6.16 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?No | sell | 6.29 | $0.986 | $6.2 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 5.94 | $0.969 | $5.76 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.914 | $5.75 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.954 | $5.65 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by over 18%?No | buy | 5.69 | $0.960 | $5.46 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.999 | $5.46 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.945 | $5.97 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.966 | $5.29 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.950 | $5.13 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.954 | $5.13 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 6 | $0.966 | $5.8 | May 13, 2025 |
 Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendumNo | buy | 7.53 | $0.968 | $7.29 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 10.28 | $0.972 | $9.99 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in April?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.966 | $5.61 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or more in April?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.949 | $9.63 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will China confirm trade negotiations have begun by next Friday?No | buy | 9.64 | $0.974 | $9.39 | May 1, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down in April?Down | buy | 9.78 | $0.920 | $9 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.969 | $7.08 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 9.02 | $0.985 | $8.88 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 New Pope announced by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.969 | $5.45 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?No | buy | 7.39 | $0.942 | $6.96 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.961 | $6.81 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.975 | $5.87 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 7.08 | $0.968 | $6.85 | Apr 25, 2025 |