
Resolved Down on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 93%. The Up side opened at 59.5% on 2 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 59.5% on 2 Apr 2025 and the lowest 7% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 33.5% on 23 Apr 2025. $116.03K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2025 | 59.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Raven 27E8 | Up | 990 |
| Cosmic Pioneer 5390 | Up | 975 |
| Amber Signal 9A2B | Up | 675 |
| Royal Kestrel 6FB2 | Up | 430 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 01 Apr '25 00:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 30 Apr '25 23:59 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 01 Apr '25 00:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 30 Apr '25 23:59 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-in-april
| Misty Ledger 35E8 | Up | 320 |
| Amber Horizon DF33 | Up | 315 |
| Bold Scout 481E | Up | 245 |
| Shuangzzz | Up | 100 |
| Indigo Vector 784F | Up | 25 |
| elPolloLoco | Up | 14.37 |
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