Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 7.23 | $0.830 | $6.96 | +$0.96 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 6.74 | $0.742 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.04 |
| $0.710 |
| $5 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?Down | buy | 7.25 | $0.965 | $7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 7.23 | $0.830 | $6 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 8.21 | $0.974 | $8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?Yes | buy | 8.54 | $0.820 | $7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.780 | $9 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 13.29 | $0.978 | $13 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.880 | $11 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.660 | $6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.67 | $0.750 | $11 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.994 | $15 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 8 | $0.750 | $6 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the government shutdown end November 11?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.994 | $14 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.963 | $7 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.977 | $6 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.959 | $5 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10.25 | $0.976 | $10 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.680 | $6 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?No | buy | 9.11 | $0.988 | $9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.716 | $8 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.864 | $9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.960 | $9 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.810 | $9 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Craig win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 14.16 | $0.989 | $14 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin before February?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.910 | $5.55 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 7-8 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will Trump tweet 11-14 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 9.11 | $0.988 | $9 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Gane vs. VolkovGane | buy | 5.23 | $0.710 | $3.71 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Pantoja vs. AsakuraPantoja | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Rakhmonov vs. GarryRakhmonov | buy | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Landwehr vs. ChoiLandwehr | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Nov 22-29?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.970 | $14 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?No | buy | 11.66 | $0.990 | $11.54 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?Yes | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?No | buy | 8.79 | $0.910 | $8 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump wins 287-251 - AZ, GA, NV, NC, PANo | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 70-79 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Bitcoin hits $80k before election?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.890 | $8 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump wins 316-222 - AZ, GA, MI, MN, NC, PA, WINo | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran before the election?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.950 | $16 | Oct 31, 2024 |