Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 21 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2025 to 25 Jan 2025, the highest close was 15.5% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 8% on 22 Jan 2025. $233.89K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 6:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Jan 2025 – 25 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | 15.5% |
| 25 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ML371 | Yes | 2.92K |
| bhe5umjghkhgk | Yes | 2.27K |
| BlessedGuy | Yes | 1.44K |
| poetaster | Yes | 617.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 19, Melania Trump launched a crypto token (https://x.com/MELANIATRUMP/status/1881094861279129643). This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of Donald Trump's children officially launches a token by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by one of Trump's children, either through posts form official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-of-trumps-children-launch-a-coin-by-friday
| Arcazarrrr | Yes | 540.81 |
| TurkishExemplar | Yes | 433 |
| IoganBabah | Yes | 426 |
| unspecified | Yes | 333.33 |
| Nehapupupu | Yes | 300 |
| Jamsss | Yes | 227.27 |
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