Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 7 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2024 to 13 Dec 2024, the highest close was 29.5% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 13 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 0.4% on 13 Dec 2024. $98.37K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 14, 3:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 7 Dec 2024 – 13 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | 11.5% |
| 13 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 35.47K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.09K |
| BMate | Yes | 174.11 |
| chiku18 | Yes | 151.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between December 6 and December 13.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-6-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Futuhyo | No | 0.02 |
| newowen | Yes | 0.01 |
