Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 23 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Nov 2024 to 27 Nov 2024, the highest close was 15.5% on 24 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 27 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4% on 25 Nov 2024. $48.7K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 28, 7:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Nov 2024 – 27 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2024 | 12.5% |
| 27 Nov 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.56K |
| Perspectivist | Yes | 2.19K |
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 195.57 |
| 00onee | Yes | 182 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between November 22 and November 29.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| RayLiotta234 | Yes | 148.93 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 14.22 |
| Juangro27 | No | 0.04 |
| daroghi | No | 0.01 |
